Financial Update 1999-2000 Published by: Department of Finance Province of New Brunswick P.O. Box 6000 Fredericton, New Brunswick E3B 5H1 Canada Internet: www.gnb.ca/finance March 2000 Cover: Communications New Brunswick (CNB 99516) Translation: Typesetting: Queen’s Printer for New Brunswick Printing and Binding: Printing Services, Supply and Services ISBN 1-55236-479-8 Printed in New Brunswick BUDGET PLAN / PROGRAMME BUDGÉTAIRE 1999-2000 Thousands / Milliers $ 1999-2000 1999-2000 Budget Revised Estimate Estimate Change 1999-2000 1999-2000 Prévisions Prévisions Budgetary Accounts / Comptes budgétaires budgétaires révisées Écart Gross Ordinary Account Revenues / Recettes brutes au compte ordinaire 4,355,558.8 4,451,679.2 +96,120.4 Gross Ordinary Account Expenditures / Dépenses brutes au compte ordinaire 4,297,603.8 4,400,269.1 +102,665.3 Surplus on Ordinary Account / Excédent au compte ordinaire 57,955.0 51,410.1 -6,544.9 Capital Account Expenditures / Dépenses au compte de capital 283,461.5 303,447.8 +19,986.3 Capital Account Recoveries / Recouvrements au compte de capital 38,557.3 40,244.9 +1,687.6 Net Capital Expenditures / Dépenses nettes au compte de capital 244,904.2 263,202.9 -18,298.7 Special Purpose Account Revenues / Recettes au compte à but spécial 36,908.8 37,673.3 +764.5 Special Purpose Account Expenditures / Dépenses au compte à but spécial 36,776.3 35,625.4 -1,150.9 Surplus (Deficit) on Special Purpose Account / Excédent (Déficit) au compte à but spécial 132.5 2,047.9 +1,915.4 Special Operating Agency Account Revenue / Recettes au compte des organismes de service spécial 145,072.8 175,607.0 +30,534.2 Special Operating Agency Account Expenditure / Dépenses au compte des organismes de service spécial 149,010.7 185,695.2 +36,684.5 Surplus (Deficit) on Special Operating Agency Account / Excédent (Deficit) au compte des organismes de service spécial (3,937.9) (10,088.2) -6,150.3 Sinking Fund Earnings / Gains du fonds d’amortissement 203,000.0 203,000.0 0.0 Budgetary Surplus (Deficit) from Operations / Excédent (Deficit) budgétaire des opérations 12,245.4 (16,833.1) -29,078.5 Other Items / Autres Fredericton-Moncton Highway / Autoroute de Fredericton à Moncton (882,500.0) Voluntary Early Retirement Window / Programme de retraite anticipée volontaire (52,100.0) (Increase) in Net Debt / (Augmentation) de la dette nette (951,433.1) ___________ Note:Columns may not add due to rounding. / Les chiffres ayant été arrondis, leur somme peut ne pas correspondre aux totaux in- diqués. Fiscal Performance Highlights The 1999-2000 budgetary accounts are now forecast to be in a deficit position. The deficit is projected to be $16.8 million, an increase of $29.1 million when compared to the budgeted forecast surplus of $12.2 million. Revenues Budgetary revenues are now projected to be $4,773.3 million, up $116.1 million from the budget estimate of $4,657.2 million. • Personal Income Tax revenue is $45.2 million higher than budget as a result of revised federal estimates. • Corporate Income Tax revenue is $16.0 million lower than budget due to revised federal estimates. • Provincial Real Property Tax revenue is $23.5 million lower than budget due to the forecasting base being lower than antici- pated. The revised forecast incorporates an anticipated increase in the reserve that recognizes the difference between taxes as- sessed on federal properties and the grant paid by the federal government, and an increase in the value of the owner-occupied property tax credit. • Harmonized Sales Tax revenue is $33.7 million lower than budget because anticipated changes to the allocation formula are not likely to be completed before year-end. As a result, anticipated gains have been removed from forecast revenue. • Return on Investment is $34.3 million higher than budget. Liquor profits are currently forecast to be $5.0 million higher than budget. N.B. Power is currently forecasting a $19.0 million profit, up from a budget forecast of nil. • Fiscal Equalization Payments are $122.0 million higher than budget as a result of revised federal estimates. • The Canada Health and Social Transfer is $45.2 million higher than budget as a result of revised federal estimates. This in- crease includes $28 million in funding from the CHST Supplement Trust for Health Care established by the federal government in the 1999 Federal Budget. • Harmonization Transitional Payments are $115.0 million lower than budget as a result of the Province changing its method of accounting for the payment. The transitional funding is now being recognized as revenue when the Province has fully satisfied the conditions attached to the funding and there is no possibility that revenue recognized could become repayable to the Federal Government. Using this accounting method $66.0 million will be recognized in 1999-2000, instead of the budgeted $181.0 mil- lion. • Conditional Grants From Canada are $12.1 million higher than budget as a result of recoveries related to flood and storm damage. These increased recoveries are offset by a corresponding increase in expenditures. • Special Operating Agency revenue is $30.5 million higher than budget mainly due to increased revenues related to the New Brunswick Community College and Regional Development Corporation special operating agencies. This increase in revenue is offset by a corresponding increase in expenditure. Expenditures Budgetary expenditures are now projected to be $4,790.1 million, up $145.2 million from the budget estimate of $4,644.9 million. Ordinary Account • Department of Health and Community Services expenditures are higher than budget by $103.0 million. This includes addi- tional funding for Region Hospital Corporations, Medicare, Long Term Care, Ambulance Services and the Prescription Drug Program. • Municipalities and Housing expenditures are higher than budget by $15.7 million primarily due to flood damage. A significant portion of the flood damage costs will be recovered from the Federal Disaster Financial Assistance Program. • Transportation is $9.8 million higher than budget primarily due to the Winter Maintenance program. • Fisheries and Aquaculture expenditures are higher than budget by $7.0 million due to the Infectious Salmon Anemia Fish Health Surveillance Program. • Natural Resources and Energy is $5.0 million higher than budget primarily due to fire suppression costs, a reflection of the severe forest fire season experienced in 1999. • Legislative Assembly expenditures are higher than budget by $4.9 million due to the Provincial Election and Municipal by- elections. • General Government is lower than budget by $18.3 million due to pension expense and supplementary funding being less than originally budgeted. The lower expenditures are partially offset by higher Provision for Loss expense and increased demand for Strategic Assistance. • Human Resource Development NB is lower than budget by $15.6 million due to a decline in the Social Assistance caseload. • Education expenditures are $6.3 million lower than budget primarily due to the Student Assistance Program having less uptake than anticipated. Capital Account • Capital expenditures are higher than budget by $20.0 million primarily due to costs associated with infrastructure repairs in the Department of Transporation and the Solid Waste Management Program in the Department of Environment. Special Operating Agency • Special Operating Agency expenditures are higher than budget by $36.7 million due to increased programming in the New Brunswick Community College and special programming (Rural Experience and Community Pride) managed through the Re- gional Development Corporation. These expenditures are offset by revenue from federal or provincial sources. Other Items • Changing the Fredericton – Moncton Highway from an operating lease to a capital lease will result in an increase in the prov- ince’s net debt of $882.5 million. • An estimated $52.1 million reflects an increase in the province’s net debt, for the Voluntary Early Retirement Window, based on 1,000 plan members electing to retire by March 31, 2002. Economy The New Brunswick economy performed well in 1999. Real GDP grew by 3.6% compared to the 2.3 % anticipated in the 1999 Budget. A major reason for this growth was the 22.1% growth in investment during 1999. This growth was the result of a number of major projects, including the Fredericton to Moncton highway, the Irving Oil refinery expansion and the natural gas pipeline. Employment grew by 3.3% resulting in a drop in the unemployment rate to 10.2%, the lowest rate on record. The strong showing on the employment front contributed to a 5.1% growth in personal expenditures. In summary all major economic variables proved to be more positive in 1999 than anticipated in the 1999 Budget. MAJOR ECONOMIC INDICATORS – 1999 / PRINCIPAUX INDICATEURS ÉCONOMIQUES – 1999 1999-2000 BUDGET AND REVISED / BUDGET 1999-2000 ET PRÉVISIONS RÉVISÉES (Percent Change, Except Unemployment Rate) / (Changement en pourcentage, sauf pour le taux de chômage) Revised / BudgetRévisées Real GDP / PIB (réel)2.33.6 Investment / Investissements8.622.1 Employment / Emploi1.93.3 Personal Expenditure / Dépenses personnelles3.45.1 CPI (New Brunswick) / IPC (Nouveau-Brunswick)1.71.6 Unemployment Rate / Taux de chômage11.610.2 GROSS BUDGETARY REVENUE / RECETTES BUDGÉTAIRES BRUTES REVISED 1999-2000 / RÉVISÉES 1999-2000 Thousands / Milliers $ Department / Ministère Ordinary Account / Compte ordinaire Capital Account / Compte de capital Special Purpose Account / Compte à but spécial Special Operating Agency / Organismes de service spécial Inter- account Transactions / Opérations inter- comptes Total: Gross Budgetary Revenue / Recettes budgétaires brutes Agriculture and Rural Development / Agriculture et Aménagement rural 3,521.9 1,740.0 69.1 5,331.0 Economic Development, Tourism and Culture / Développement économique, Tourisme et Culture 10,620.2 23.4 2,848.0 748.8 (230.0) 14,010.4 Education / Éducation 17,949.3 6,104.1 86,299.3 (64,614.8) 45,737.9 Environment / Environnement 2,186.0 14,560.0 16,746.0 Finance / Finances 3,852,678.5 556.2 3,853,234.7 Fisheries and Aquaculture / Pêches et Aquaculture 4,359.6 4,359.6 Health and Community Services / Santé et Services communautaires 31,667.9 1,905.3 33,573.2 Human Resources Development / Développement des ressources humaines 70,201.6 4,124.0 74,325.6 Justice / Justice 37,010.9 317.4 37,328.3 Labour / Travail 89,772.3 1,444.2 3,263.3 (105.6) 94,374.2 Legislative Assembly / Assemblée législative 9.8 9.8 Maritime Provinces Higher Education Commission / Commission de l’enseignement supérieur des provinces Maritimes 803.0 803.0 Municipalities and Housing / Municipalités et Habitation 13,984.5 482.0 500.0 14,966.5 Natural Resources and Energy / Ressources naturelles et Énergie 81,589.0 150.0 1,170.0 82,909.0 Office of the Comptroller / Bureau du contrôleur 52.5 52.5 Other Agencies / Autres organismes 126,250.0 126,250.0 Regional Development Corporation / Société d’aménagement régional 16,759.8 3,553.7 22,440.8 (8,267.4) 34,486.9 Solicitor General / Solliciteur général 11,492.8 1,863.0 13,355.8 Supply and Services / Approvisionnement et Services 1,209.0 0.5 1,705.0 2,914.5 Transportation / Transports 79,560.6 34,295.3 507.0 62,854.8 (61,681.5) 115,536.2 TOTAL: 4,451,679.2 40,244.9 37,673.3 175,607.0 (134,899.3) 4,570,305.1 Sinking Fund Earnings / Gains du fonds d’amortissement 203,000.0 GROSS BUDGETARY REVENUE / RECETTES BUDGÉTAIRES BRUTES 4,773,305.1 GROSS BUDGETARY EXPENDITURE / DÉPENSES BUDGÉTAIRES BRUTES REVISED 1999-2000 / RÉVISÉES 1999-2000 Thousands / Milliers $ Department / Ministère Ordinar y Account / Compte ordinair e Capital Account / Compte de capital Special Purpose Account / Compte à but spécial Special Operating Agency / Organisme s de service spécial Inter- account Transaction s / Opérations inter- comptes Total: Gross Budgetary Expenditur e / Dépenses budgétaires brutes Agriculture and Rural Development / Agriculture et Aménagement rural 24,882.0 450.0 69.1 25,401.1 Economic Development, Tourism and Culture / Développement économique, Tourisme et Culture 53,725.1 3,300.0 2,765.0 686.8 (230.0) 60,246.9 Education / Éducation 757,288.6 1,000.0 6,037.3 91,938.6 (64,614.8) 791,649.7 Environment / Environnement 10,934.4 14,761.0 14,560.0 40,255.4 Executive Council Office / Bureau du Conseil exécutif 3,434.3 3,434.3 Finance / Finances 20,509.2 56.2 20,565.4 Fisheries and Aquaculture / Pêches et Aquaculture 18,282.5 18,282.5 General Government / Gouvernement général 131,839.3 8,329.0 140,168.3 Health and Community Services / Santé et Services communautaires 1,479,374.1 2,800.0 1,565.3 1,483,739.4 Human Resources Development / Développement des ressources humaines 361,365.7 900.0 1,087.8 363,353.5 Intergovernmental and Aboriginal Affairs / Affaires intergouvernementales et autochtones 2,730.0 2,730.0 Justice / Justice 33,624.4 360.5 33,984.9 Labour / Travail 125,721.4 3,213.2 3,263.3 (105.6) 132,092.3 Legislative Assembly / Assemblée législative 17,070.0 17,070.0 Maritime Provinces Higher Education Commission / Commission de l’enseignement supérieur des provinces Maritimes 160,473.0 160,473.0 Municipalities and Housing / Municipalités et Habitation 142,994.5 1,669.5 500.0 145,164.0 Natural Resources and Energy / Ressources naturelles et Énergie 84,500.2 1,191.1 85,691.3 Office of the Comptroller / Bureau du contrôleur 4,854.4 4,854.4 Office of the Premier / Cabinet du premier ministre 1,610.1 1,610.1 Regional Development Corporation / Société d’aménagement régional 55,337.5 7,217.3 26,014.3 (8,267.4) 80,301.7 Service of the Public Debt / Service de la dette publique 612,000.0 612,000.0 Solicitor General / Solliciteur général 74,271.3 1,993.0 76,264.3 Supply and Services / Approvisionnement et Services 81,693.6 53,235.0 1,746.9 136,675.5 Transportation / Transports 141,753.5 209,786.0 480.0 63,792.2 (61,681.5) 354,130.2 GROSS BUDGETARY EXPENDITURE / DÉPENSES BUDGÉTAIRES BRUTES 4,400,269.1 303,447.8 35,625.4 185,695.2 (134,899.3) 4,790,138.2 GROSS ORDINARY REVENUE BY SOURCE / RECETTES BRUTES AU COMPTE ORDINAIRE PAR SOURCE Thousands / Milliers $ OWN SOURCE / DE PROVENANCE INTERNE 1999-2000 Budget Estimate 1999-2000 Prévisions budgétaires 1999-2000 Revised Estimate 1999-2000 Prévisions révisées Change Écart Taxes / Taxes et impôts Personal Income Tax / Impôt sur le revenu des particuliers 855,000. 0 900,170.0 +45,170.0 Corporate Income Tax / Impôt sur le revenu des corporations 157,000. 0 141,001.0 -15,999.0 Metallic Minerals Tax / Taxe sur les minéraux métalliques 4,000.0 4,000.0 0.0 Provincial Real Property Tax / Impôt foncier provincial 268,500. 0 245,000.0 -23,500.0 Harmonized Sales Tax / Taxe de vente harmonisée 641,700. 0 608,000.0 -33,700.0 Gasoline and Motive Fuel Tax / Taxe sur l’essence et les carburants 173,000. 0 181,000.0 +8,000.0 Tobacco Tax / Taxe sur le tabac 43,000.0 47,000.0 +4,000.0 Pari-Mutuel Tax / Taxe sur le pari mutuel 60.0 60.0 0.0 Insurance Premium Tax / Taxe sur les primes d’assurance 26,060.0 25,260.0 -800.0 Real Property Transfer Tax / Taxe sur le transfert de biens réels 2,700.0 2,700.0 0.0 Large Corporation Capital Tax / Taxe sur le capital des grandes sociétés 32,000.0 28,000.0 -4,000.0 Financial Corporation Capital Tax / Taxe sur le capital des corporations financières 8,800. 0 8,000. 0 -800.0 Sub-Total: Taxes / Total partiel : taxes et impôts 2,211,820.0 2,190,191.0 -21,629.0 Return on Investment / Produits de placements 111,107.5 145,358.8 +34,251.3 Licenses and Permits / Licences et permis 90,633.4 95,409.6 +4,776.2 Sale of Goods and Services / Vente de biens et services 83,296.3 85,591.5 +2,295.2 Royalties / Redevances 52,994.0 59,449.0 +6,455.0 Lottery Revenues / Recettes des loteries 73,000.0 73,000.0 0.0 Fines and Penalties / Amendes et intérêts de pénalités 1,718.5 1,410.0 -308.5 Miscellaneous / Recettes diverses 12,860.6 18,922.0 +6,061.4 TOTAL: OWN SOURCE REVENUE / TOTAL : RECETTES DE PROVENANCE INTERNE 2,637,430.3 2,669,331.9 +31,901.6 Unconditional Grants - Canada / Subventions inconditionnelles - Canada Fiscal Equalization Payments / Paiements de péréquation 1,035,000.0 1,156,975.0 +121,975.0 Canada Health and Social Transfer / Transfert canadien en matière de santé et de programmes sociaux 324,000.0 369,170.0 +45,170.0 Harmonization Transitional Payment / Paiements transitoires d’harmonisation 181,000.0 66,000.0 -115,000.0 Other / Autres 1,900.0 1,900.0 0.0 Sub-Total: Unconditional grants - Canada / Total partiel : subventions inconditionnelles - Canada 1,541,900.0 1,594,045.0 +52,145.0 Conditional Grants - Canada / Subventions conditionnelles - Canada 176,228.5 188,302.3 +12,073.8 TOTAL: GRANTS FROM CANADA / TOTAL : SUBVENTIONS DU CANADA 1,718,128.5 1,782,347.3 +64,218.8 TOTAL: GROSS ORDINARY REVENUE / RECETTES BRUTES AU COMPTE ORDINAIRE 4,355,558.8 4,451,679.2 +96,120.4 GROSS ORDINARY ACCOUNT EXPENDITURES / DÉPENSES BRUTES AU COMPTE ORDINAIRE Thousands / Milliers $ Department / Ministère 1999-2000 Budget Estimate 1999-2000 Prévisions budgétaires 1999-2000 Revised Estimate 1999-2000 Prévisions révisées Change Écart Agriculture and Rural Development / Agriculture et Aménagement rural 24,010.0 24,882.0 +872.0 Economic Development, Tourism and Culture / Développement économique Tourisme et Culture 53,574.7 53,725.1 +150.4 Education / Éducation 763,630.2 757,288.6 -6,341.6 Environment / Environnement 10,934.4 10,934.4 0.0 Executive Council Office / Bureau du Conseil exécutif 3,594.3 3,434.3 -160.0 Finance / Finances 20,909.2 20,509.2 -400.0 Fisheries and Aquaculture / Pêches et Aquaculture 11,252.5 18,282.5 +7,030.0 General Government / Gouvernement général 150,165.5 131,839.3 -18,326.2 Health and Community Services / Santé et Services communautaires 1,376,332.5 1,479,374.1 +103,041.6 Human Resources Development / Développement des ressources humaines 376,965.7 361,365.7 -15,600.0 Intergovernmental and Aboriginal Affairs / Affaires intergouvernementales et autochtones 2,730.0 2,730.0 0.0 Justice / Justice 32,840.3 33,624.4 +784.1 Labour / Travail 132,078.7 125,721.4 -6,357.3 Legislative Assembly / Assemblée législative 12,153.9 17,070.0 +4,916.1 Maritime Provinces Higher Education Commission / Commission de l’enseignement supérieur des provinces Maritimes 160,491.1 160,473.0 -18.1 Municipalities and Housing / Municipalités et Habitation 127,303.4 142,994.5 +15,691.1 Natural Resources and Energy / Ressources naturelles et Énergie 79,463.6 84,500.2 +5,036.6 Office of the Comptroller / Bureau du contrôleur 4,854.4 4,854.4 0.0 Office of the Premier / Cabinet du premier ministre 1,611.1 1,610.1 -1.0 Regional Development Corporation / Société d’aménagement régional 56,028.2 55,337.5 -690.7 Service of the Public Debt / Service de la dette publique 610,000.0 612,000.0 +2,000.0 Solicitor General / Solliciteur général 72,854.3 74,271.3 +1,417.0 Supply and Services / Approvisionnement et Services 81,879.2 81,693.6 -185.6 Transportation / Transports 131,946.6 141,753.5 +9,806.9 Gross Ordinary Account Expenditure / Dépenses brutes au compte ordinaire 4,297,603.8 4,400,269.1 +102,665.3